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Life-Cycle Bias and a Meta-Analysis of the Estimates about Returns to Education in China
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TitleLife-Cycle Bias and a Meta-Analysis of the Estimates about Returns to Education in China  
AuthorYu Hongxia  
OrganizationCollege of Education Administration, Faculty of Education, Beijing Normal University 
Email yuhongxia@bnu.edu.cn 
Key WordsReturns to Education; Life-Cycle Bias; Lifetime Earnings; Meta-Analysis; Publication Bias 
AbstractAs the data of lifetime earnings is difficult to obtain, a common practice in the literature is applying current income instead of lifetime earnings, and life-cycle bias emerges because current income is not parallel to lifetime earnings. When we estimate the returns to education, the life-cycle bias may be a more serious problem than the endogenous bias on which researchers have paid much attention. This paper conducts a meta-analysis to investigate how life-cycle bias could influence the estimates of returns to education and their time tendency in China. The result suggests that life-cycle bias is serious and a large part of the growth of returns to education in China is due to sample average age growth caused by an aging population. 
Serial NumberWP524 
Time2013-10-15 
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