Economic Research Journal (Monthly) Vol.42 No.1 January, 2007 |
• On Chinas Development Model:Costs and Benefits of Chinas Decentralization Approach to Transition |
Abstrat:This paper provides a coherent framework to fully account for Chinas development model, both the successes and the failures of the Chinas decentralization approach to reform. The combination of political centralization and economic decentralization provides local governments with enough incentives to develop local economies, in particular the incentives to promote markets and privatization locally. In the meantime, the relative evaluation-based incentive schemes lead to inter-regional market segmentation, increasing inter-regional development gaps and unequal provision of certain public goods. The success of early-stage reform can be attributed to the benefits of the decentralization approach. The next stage reform should minimize the costs associated with the approach. Chinas gradualist reform can be taken as a problem of mechanism design by the central government. So, after identifying the costs and benefits of the decentralization approach, it is essential to have a reasonable design of the next-stage reform package. |
…………………………Wang Yongqin,Zhang Yan,Zhang Yuan,Chen Zhao and Lu Ming(4) |
• Regional Decentralization and Economic Efficiency:Evidence from Separate-Planning Cities in China |
Abstrat:China started its reforms with the devolution of central power, especially regional decentralization. Based on the experiences of 14 separate-planning cities, this paper tries to examine the effect of regional decentralization on economic efficiency. We estimate the causal effect of separate-planning by constructing two types of control groups, one from intra-province and the other from inter-provinces. There is strong evidence supporting the view that decentralization improves economic efficiency. The basic result is robust to a number of specification tests. |
…………………………Shi Yupeng and Zhou lian(17) |
• Short-term Determination of Government Supply Preference:Political Equilibrium and Economic Efficievcy |
Abstrat:This paper discusses the short-term determining mechanism of Chinas government supply preference.Political but not economic market equilibrium is the key to understand it. Under the assumption of managed competitive political market and political support maximizing government, the political determination process, its efficiency character, and the political price formation mechanism are investigated respectively. The low efficiency nature of political allocation is aggravated for offside and absence of government activities. Current reforms should focus on promotion of market-oriented economic transition and public finance transformation, but not overall democratization.Management of political prices by authority will play a constructive role in the transition period. While gradual democratization and the building of competitive political market based on equal political rights are farsighted choices. |
…………………………Tang Yugang and Zhao Daping(29) |
• Are Currency Appreciations Contractionary in China |
Abstrat:Chinese economy has been in a state of external and internal imbalances for some years, which has something to do with the undervaluation of renminbi RMB. But Chinese Government hesitates to allow RMB to appreciate because of the worry that RMB appreciations are contractionary thus have negative impact on Chinas economic growth and employment. The purpose of this paper is to empirically assess the effects of RMB real exchange rate on Chinas output. The econometric results of the paper show that 1 even after source of spurious correlation is controlled for, RMB appreciation has led to a decline in Chinas output, suggesting that RMB appreciations do be contractionary, and that 2 once the international finance linkage of Chinese economy is accounted for, the effect of RMB real exchange rate shocks on Chinas output and the power of the shocks in explaining the change of Chinas output are diminished. The paper gives some possible explanations to those findings, and points out that the findings do not necessarily imply that China should continue maintaining the undervaluation of RMB. |
…………………………Shi Jianhuai(41) |
• Welfare Analysis of Government Debt |
Abstrat:Government debt is an important topic for economic research and it has also been greatly concerned by governments. Economists have done a lot of research on the optimal quantity of debt based on discussing the applicability of Barro-Ricardian equivalent theory. However, seldom research focuses on the welfare cost of government debt for China economy even if many researches study the effect of government debt on economy. In an incomplete market with idiosyncratic labor shocks and borrowing constraints, this paper discusses welfare cost of government debt in China economy and compares these results with those in US economy. |
…………………………Lin Xixi and Gong Liutang (56) |
• Estimating Bilateral Exposures in the China Interbank Market:Is There a Systemic Contagion |
Abstrat:A frontier study, which has highly attracted the attention of financial researchers as well as regulators and policymakers, is how to estimate, predict and regulate systemic risks of banking system. This paper uses balance sheet information to estimate the matrix of bilateral credit relationships for the China banking system and test whether the breakdown of a single bank or banking group can lead to contagion at different loss ratios. Our findings have important implications for banking regulation. |
…………………………Ma Junlu,Fan Xiaoyun and Cao Yuantao(68) |
• Income Inequality and Health in Rural China |
Abstrat:With the rising income inequality, the effect of income distribution on health and health inequality has aroused ever-increasing concerns. Using CHNS 1997 and 2000 survey data, we attempt to address the following two issues: how could income inequality influence health; does the rising income inequality result in health inequality. We find that the effect of income distribution on health is lagged. There is an “inverted-U” association between income inequality and health in rural China and the detrimental effect occurs in higher inequality areas. A possible reason is that the income inequality has an effect on public health care provision. We also find that the rising income inequality strengthens the income effect, which means the health of lower-income group is worsening since they are more easily exposed to adverse income shocks. |
…………………………Feng Jin and Yu Yangyang(79) |
• Performance of Chinas Service and Manufacturing Industry Enterprises:An Empirical Analysis Based on Chinas First Economic Census |
Abstrat:The empirical analysis based on Chinas economic census data shows that: i the asset per worker in service industry enterprises is more than that of manufacturing industry enterprises; ii the financial and economic performance of service industry enterprises is worse than manufacturing industry enterprise;iii the entrance threshold of investment of service industry enterprise is not lower than that of manufacturing industry enterprises. Consequently, we argued that China should be more careful in prompting the development of service industry enterprises. |
…………………………Liu Peilin and Song Zhan(89) |
• Ownership,Agency Cost and Agency Efficiency |
Abstrat:This paper examines the relationships between ownership, agency cost and efficiency in Chinese transition economy. The main findings are as follows: 1 Agency cost of state-owned property rights is higher than that of diversified ownership, meanwhile the latter is higher than that of private property rights, and the agency cost differences between diversified ownership and private ownership is smaller than the differences between state-owned property rights and diversified ownership. 2The ratio of long-term investments to assets and the number of employee are significantly positively related to agency cost, and the ratio of long-term investments to assets, financial leverage and the number of employee are significantly negatively relative with agency efficiency. 3 The differences of agency cost between alternative property rights are negatively relative with firms scales. 4With the strengthening of competition, the agency costs of various property rights are almost increasingly decreasing, and respectively the agency efficiency are gradually increasing. The direct implication of our study is that the objectives of the reform of SOEs should be focused on reducing the agency cost by means of promoting the reform of diversified property rights system, and establishing a efficient overseeing and controlling mechanism, otherwise SOEs will at last be extruded downright from rival market by private firms. |
…………………………Li Shouxi(102) |
• A Study on Anchoring Effect for Non-tradable Share Reform of Listed Companies in China |
Abstrat:The non-tradable share reform is an issue unique to capital market in China. This paper uses the theory of “anchoring effect” in psychology, to investigate two key issues: how to set up compensation ratio and determinants of compensation ratio. The results from a sample of 526 reformed firms show that: 1 compensation ratio is set up irrationally by the reformed firms, there exists significant “anchoring and adjustment” biases; 2 when setting up compensation ratio, reformed firms mainly use two anchor, the static anchor-the average compensation ratio of first 3 pilot firms, and the moving anchor-the average ratio of preceding round of reformed firms; 3 as the reform progress, not matter based on the static anchor or the moving anchor, for the second round pilot firms, the compensation ratios are more affected by the “anchor”, but less affected by other variables, anchoring effect is strong; but for the full-scale reformed firms, the compensation ratios are more affected by other variables, but less affected by the “anchor”, anchoring effect is weak; 4 not matter based on the static low/high anchor or the moving low/high anchor, for firms which offer low compensation ratio, the compensation ratios are more affected by the “low anchor”, but less affected by other variables, anchoring effect is strong; but for firms which offer high compensation ratio, the compensation ratios are more affected by the “high anchor”, but less affected by other variables, anchoring effect is weak. |
…………………………Xu Nianxing and Wu Shinong(114) |
• Wave Phenomenon and the Reconstruction of Macroeconomic Theories for Developing Countries |
Abstrat:It is an implicit assumption in the existing macroeconomics that there is no consensus among firms about which the next promising industry will be in the process of economic growth. However, because of the advantages of backwardness, firms in a developing country are easy to form a consensus about the next promising industry. The consensus often leads to a wave phenomenon in the firms investments and results in over capacity in the new industry and a series of related economic problems. It is imperative to relax the above implicit assumption and reconstruct a new macroeconomics to explore the implications of the investments wave phenomenon on prices, employment, economic growth and business cycles in a developing country so as to provide the government with references for making fiscal, monetary, financial, trade, industrial development and other macroeconomic management policies. |
…………………………Lin Yifu(126) |
• Science and Positivism:A Review on Neuroeconomics |
Abstrat:The Neuroeconomics, which emergened in late 1990s, is a frontier area and a new branch of economics. It utilizes the mode, the method, and the tools of modern neurology to analyze the economic behavior of human being, and lays out the human brains mainly nerve cell and its neurosurgery and NN function, role, and mechanism in dealing with individual decision-making. It promotes the positive research to a high level which has nerve been reached. After provide a series of significant revision with traditional economics, it then exploits new fields for the development and the deepening of economics. |
…………………………Ye Hang,Wang Dingding and Jia Yongmin(132) |
• How to Formulate A Research Report Based on Field Work |
Abstrat:The objective of this paper is to discuss approaches which can effectively help to strengthen the writing capacity of graduate students and junior researchers, from the point of view of teaching and research. Firstly, it explores “doing from learning” and “learning from doing” as the ways to bridge the capacity gap. Secondly, it illustrates methods to train junior researchers in capacity building programs during the implementation of research projects carried out by a team. Finally, citing case studies as examples it highlights a number of principles for the formulation of a research report based on field work. |
…………………………Zhu Ling(143) |
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